Vision 2050: Strategies towards high-gear economic transformation

Vision 2050: Strategies towards high-gear economic transformation

The journey to envisioning Tanzania’s economic future by 2050 is the story of hopes, dreams, and pragmatic plans. We’ve imagined a Tanzania free from poverty, driven by double-digit GDP growth, and flourishing with opportunities for all its citizens. But how do we get there? In this article, we present a three-phased growth strategy that weaves together periods of steady growth, rapid expansion, and consolidation to place Tanzania into that new development orbit.

Starting with a modest 6 percent annual growth in 2024 and 2025, Tanzania’s GDP would rise from $79 billion in 2023 to $91 billion by the end of 2025. This sets the stage for the first critical phase of our growth strategy. From 2026 to 2030, Tanzania aims for a 7.5 percent annual growth rate. By 2030, the GDP would reach $153 billion. During this phase, the focus will be on efficiency, or we can say, taking the government out of people’s businesses.

Much of what we call underdevelopment in Africa is the result of extractive institutions that promote rent-seeking practices in our systems. The fifth phase government’s Blueprint for Regulatory Reforms to Improve the Business Environment highlighted over 150 regulatory issues that affect the business climate in Tanzania. As a result, businesses spend over 180 days just for regulatory compliance. That is the impediment to growth – and it is all thanks to what the government does.

Taking the government out of people’s business implies streamlining public services, reducing bureaucratic red tape, and improving infrastructure utilisation. That also means capacity building for a more qualified workforce. Enhanced education and vocational training programmes will prepare our youth to meet the demands of a rapidly changing job market. Similarly, prioritising strategic infrastructure projects like energy generation and transportation network would enhance productivity. Again, the focus here is to remove the obstacles that the government has been putting on progress so that the people can make the investments into solutions that the society need themselves.

With that foundation laid, Tanzania can shift into high gear from 2031 to 2045, targeting an ambitious 10 percent annual growth rate. By 2045, the GDP would soar to $1.2 trillion. During this high gear phase, the focus will be on developing an innovation ecosystem to enhance global competitiveness. Prioritising elite education, innovation hubs, industrial and special economic zones will drive technological and manufacturing advancements. As a result, many youths will find employment in a formal sector at the time when productivity is soaring, thus setting an economic platform for further growth.

Imagine Dar es Salaam becoming East Africa’s Silicon Valley, bustling with tech startups and innovation. Imagine Morogoro, Rufiji River Basin, and the southern highlands becoming the food baskets of Africa. Imagine Kigoma, Mbeya and Ruvuma stepping into their destinies as economic gateways to surrounding nations. Imagine Arusha and Zanzibar transforming into globally competitive tourist and business hubs. This strategy, when coupled with further business-friendly reforms, attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) by offering incentives, and fostering an export-oriented economy, the nation will attract more international businesses, boost exports, create jobs, and supercharge growth by taking full advantage of its sizable demographic advantage as the population jumps to the 130 million mark by 2050.

After 15 years of rapid growth, the next goal will be to consolidate gains and ensure sustainable development. From 2046 to 2050, Tanzania will target a 7.5 percent annual growth rate once more, becoming a $2.5 trillion economy by 2050 when Africa’s GDP will be about $30 trillion. This final phase would emphasise building a knowledge economy, implementing social safety nets, and prioritising environmental stewardship.

Shifting towards a knowledge-based economy by investing in globally competitive higher education, research institutions, and fostering a culture of lifelong learning will enhance our education system, producing world-class researchers, scientists, and innovators. Citizens of that Tanzania will enjoy robust social services and the government will ensure inclusive growth benefits all citizens. Similarly, prioritising environmental sustainability by investing in clean energy technologies, promoting green infrastructure projects, and fostering climate-resilient agriculture will ensure future generations inherit a thriving, sustainable environment.

This three-phase approach creates a roadmap for sustained economic growth in Tanzania. By strategically alternating between high gear for rapid advancements and low gear for consolidation and course correction, Tanzania can navigate towards a prosperous future.

However, as we mentioned in our first article in this series, achieving long-term success demands a constant focus on visionary leadership. Effective governance, transparent policies, and robust institutions are crucial for sustained growth. Good governance will ensure that resources are managed efficiently, and that corruption is minimised. Prioritising investments in education, healthcare, and social welfare programmes ensures inclusive growth and a skilled workforce. The ability to adapt to technological advancements, emerging economic trends, and unforeseen challenges is key to long-term sustainability.

By current projections, Kenya’s GDP will reach $1 trillion, Ethiopia $1.5 trillion and Uganda $755 billion by 2050. So, the ambitious Vision 2050 target of $2.5 trillion for Tanzania is not unthinkable. Vision 2050 not just about numbers, it is about making strategic decisions that transform lives and build an inclusive society. Together, we can make that vision a reality.

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Tanzania Confirms Second Marburg Outbreak After WHO Chief Visit
Tanzania Foreign Investment News
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Tanzania Confirms Second Marburg Outbreak After WHO Chief Visit

Dar es Salaam — Tanzania’s President Samia Suluhu Hassan has declared an outbreak of Marburg virus, confirming a single case in the northwestern region of Kagera after a meeting with WHO director-general Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus.

The confirmation follows days of speculation about a possible outbreak in the region, after the WHO reported a number of deaths suspected to be linked to the highly infectious disease.

While Tanzania’s Ministry of Health declared last week that all suspected cases had tested negative for Marburg, the WHO called for additional testing at international reference laboratories.

“We never know when an outbreak might occur in a neighbouring nation. So we ensure infection prevention control assessments at every point of care as routine as a morning greeting at our workplaces.”Amelia Clemence, public health researcher

Subsequent laboratory tests conducted at Kagera’s Kabaile Mobile Laboratory and confirmed in Dar es Salaam identified one positive case, while 25 other suspected cases tested negative, the president told a press conference in Dodoma, in the east of the country today (Monday).

“The epicentre has now shifted to Biharamulo district of Kagera,” she told the press conference, distinguishing this outbreak from the previous one centred in Bukoba district.

Tedros said the WHO would release US$3 million from its emergencies contingency fund to support efforts to contain the outbreak.

Health authorities stepped up surveillance and deployed emergency response teams after the WHO raised the alarm about nine suspected cases in the region, including eight deaths.

The suspected cases displayed symptoms consistent with Marburg infection, including headache, high fever, diarrhoea, and haemorrhagic complications, according to the WHO’s alert to member countries on 14 January. The organisation noted a case fatality rate of 89 per cent among the suspected cases.

“We appreciate the swift attention accorded by the WHO,” Hassan said.

She said her administration immediately investigated the WHO’s alert.

“The government took several measures, including the investigation of suspected individuals and the deployment of emergency response teams,” she added.

Cross-border transmission

The emergence of this case in a region that experienced Tanzania’s first-ever Marburg outbreak in March 2023 has raised concerns about cross-border transmission, particularly following Rwanda’s recent outbreak that infected 66 people and killed 15 before being declared over in December 2024.

The situation is particularly critical given Kagera’s position as a transport hub connecting four East African nations.

Amelia Clemence, a public health researcher working in the region, says constant vigilance is required.

“We never know when an outbreak might occur in a neighbouring nation. So we ensure infection prevention control assessments at every point of care as routine as a morning greeting at our workplaces.”

The Kagera region’s ecosystem, home to fruit bats that serve as natural reservoirs for the Marburg virus, adds another layer of complexity to disease surveillance efforts.

The virus, closely related to Ebola, spreads through contact with bodily fluids and can cause severe haemorrhagic fever.

Transparency urged

Elizabeth Sanga, shadow minister of health for Tanzania’s ACT Wazalendo opposition party, says greater transparency would help guide public health measures.

“This could have helped to guide those who are traveling to the affected region to be more vigilant and prevent the risk of further spread,” she said.

WHO regional director for Africa Matshidiso Moeti says early notification of investigation outcomes is important.

“We stand ready to support the government in its efforts to investigate and ensure that measures are in place for an effective and rapid response,” she said, noting that existing national capacities built from previous health emergencies could be quickly mobilised.

The situation coincides with leadership changes in Tanzania’s Ministry of Health, with both the chief medical officer and permanent secretary being replaced.

This piece was produced by SciDev.Net’s Sub-Saharan Africa English desk.

Source: allafrica.com

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